"Georgia, Ukraine, the Baltic States, and then maybe my country."
We see a new generation of war based on the Gerasimov doctrines. Valery Gerasimov is the chief of the General Staff of the Russian armed forces. A multi-level, multi-vector approach, for aggressive purposes against a given country, ranging from military to humanitarian means with which we now have to deal, attacks in cyberspace, disinformation, psychological warfare.
Belarus is realizing Moscow's strategic goal, provoking a humanitarian crisis on the border with Poland, which is the border of NATO's eastern flank.
The goal is simple: destabilization of Poland in the internal and external dimension, change of government to a more friendly one toward far-reaching Russian expansion, primarily aimed at the Baltic states, that is Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. At this point, Ukraine can be attacked at any moment. For example, while the West is busy dealing with China's attack on Taiwan.
Today the leader of the Belarus regime, Alyaksandr Lukashenka, attended a military security meeting, during which he stated that in the event of a war in Donbas or "anywhere else on the border with Russia", "Belarus will not stand aside and it will be clear on whose side will he stand."
Lukashenko has just promised that if there is a new war in Donbas, "Belarus will not stay aside. And it is clear whose side we will be on." Seems like this map from the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence Kyrylo Budanov is not that alarmist after all. pic.twitter.com/R4TWijhUyS
— Tadeusz Giczan (@TadeuszGiczan) November 29, 2021